On the war in the Middle East?

As the Iran continues to position itself as the most powerful nation in the Middle East, a new Shiite domination emerges in a region traditionally controlled by Sunni Muslims. With the removal of the Sunni regime of Saddam Hussein in Iraq, a Shiite majority has begun to consolidate power in a Government should have close links with the clerics of decision in the neighbouring countries of the Iran.

Throw in rising popularity and the Iranian power sponsored by Hezbollah at the Lebanon and the Sunni nations are increasingly uncomfortable about what happens to the balance of power in the region. As this unease grows, make the prospects for total war by the Shiites and the Sunnis Middle East.

Recently, the Strategic Forecasting, Inc. private intelligence company said Nawaf Obaid, Director General of the Saudi Arabia National security assessment project and Saudi Arabia as senior strategic advisor saying that the Kingdom would use money, oil and support for the Sunni militants defeat the Iran's efforts to dominate the Iraq by a U.S. military withdrawal.

Writing in the Washington Post, Obaid admitted that this apparent support of Sunni minority in Iraq against a Shiite majority could lead to a regional war. However, he has written, "" it: the consequences of inaction are far worse. "" Now officially the Saudi Government has distanced the Obaid comments and cancelled its contract with him. But the reports of the region, including the comments in the conclusions of the study on the Iraq group, further suggest that this support for the Sunnis of Iraq is actually happening.

It's the new reality in the Middle East. The Iran saw an opportunity he couldn't pass until when the United States became embroiled in Iraq and Afghanistan. Radical clerics and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad seized the opportunity to say the Iranian power and influence in an effort to position the Iran as the major player in the region.

Iranian strategy has three parts, which I have mentioned before: pursue nuclear technology without taking account of any claim made by the Organization of the United Nations, with the Hezbollah to confront Israel while winning power and influence to the Lebanon and sponsoring militias and Iraq death squads to consolidate their Shiite power and keep the United States in an insurgency increasingly violent.

So far, the strategy worked magnificently. Contempt for the Iran of the Security Council of the United Nations was completed with diplomatic delays by France based on the policy of appeasement and the blocking of effective sanctions by the Russia and to some extent, China. Hezbollah fought Israel for a moratorium on the battlefield and pushed the Government of Lebanon dangerously close to collapse, increasing the influence of its Iranian authors. And sectarian violence in Iraq is rapidly spinning out of control that the Sunnis are crowded out very slowly in the future of the Iraq.

At this stage, the Iranians are doing very well. Ahmadinejad is quite confident in his position to write ridiculous letters to President Bush and the American people, and he is confident enough to make a mockery of the United Nations Security Council without fear of reprisal. It sees its Masterplan uniting and therefore make its neighbours. And this is where the problem lies.

Sunni Governments in Saudi Arabia and the Jordan are nervous. They lost the buffer of the Iraq of Saddam Hussein and are now faced with the increase of Shiite power in the region. Saudi Arabia has now essentially admitted as much. The question is whether if nervousness of Shiite power will result in a hostile action. The statement by Thoraya Obaid would seem to indicate that we are more close to this point than ever before. And if the Sunnis see their dominance of the long-standing Middle East slipping away, Iraq sectarian violence could easily spread to neighbouring nations, leading to a war in the Middle East.